Don't Count Carlos Condit Out Against Nick Diaz

Everybody is talking about Nick Diaz fighting Georges St. Pierre for the UFC WW title, as if a victory for Diaz in tonight's match up against Carlos Condit is a foregone conclusion.  It most definitely is not. Condit has been on a tear lately, finishing his last three opponent's with strikes and in the process amassing a Fight of the Night award and two Knockout of the Night awards.  Yet, people are acting as though he's supposed to be the sacrificial lamb for Diaz in the run up to the GSP fight.

Although I think Diaz will win tonight, I don't see this as a walk for the 209 fighter.  The good news is, neither does Diaz.  He's not buying into the media hype and even said that Condit is more dangerous than GSP.  And he might be right about that.

Both men bring plenty of weapons into this fight, and most of the fight will probably take place on the feet.  It is sure to be an explosive match.  But to count Condit out already is a big mistake.

Another intesting thing about tonight's UFC is what kind of buy rate it will do.  Last week's UFC on Fox 2 show was supposed to introduce the UFC to a whole new set of eyeballs and thus increase PPV sales, but for new fans watching that card, they may be leery of buying tonight's $54.95 card.  I'm curious to see what kind of numbers the PPV brings in tonight.  It's clear that the UFC is concerned with their PPV numbers in general. They recently tried starting the show an hour earlier, but quickly moved it back to its original time.  We'll have to wait for the numbers to see what kind of bump the Fox show gave this card.