Carlos Condit x Jake Ellenberger:  Ellenberger is a tough S.O.B. with heavy hands and a solid 21-4 record, his only losses being to respectable competition like Hieron, Delson Heleno, and Derrick Noble.  He attracted my attention and bitterness by brutally KO'ing Vale Tudo legend Jose "Pele" Landi-Jons in Bodogfight.  He's highly experienced for a fighter 24 years young, and has studied under the tutelage of Matt Lindland and Team Quest. Carlos "The Natural Born Killer" Condit is the former WEC 170 lb. champion now making his way through the lions in the UFC.  Don't be fooled by his first performance against Martin Kampmann, who was a threat at 185 and an immediate contender at WW, as Condit is an extremely talented fighter with devastating Muay Thai skills and an excellent Jiu Jitsu arsenal, rendering him a threat at any time or any place in any fight.  The odds have Condit on a pedestal at -420, and although he should be favored, look for Ellenberger to raise some eyebrows with his thunderous punches and aggressive style in a much more competitive fight than the odds suggest.  My guess:  Condit by submission Nate Quarry x Tim Credeur:  Both men are TUF alumni with something to prove.  Despite a couple of losses on the show, Credeur has bounced back to finish Yarbrough, Loughlin, and Catone in consecutive UFC fights.  Although Credeur holds a blackbelt in both Brazilian Jiu Jitsu and Judo, he's also a striking threat, training the highly acclaimed "Thugjitsu" under UFC and MMA veteran Yves Edwards.  Credeur is a likeable gamer who always fights his heart out. Nate Quarry seems to have maturity beyond his years, and is one of the more intelligent fighters out there.  He regained some momentum after the loss to Demian Maia by TKO'ing Canadian scrapper Jason Macdonald.  Quarry has fought at a higher level of competition than Credeur, and has the stand-up advantage with his crisp boxing and straight punches accented by good footwork.  I believe Quarry is wise enough to avoid any danger on the ground and will pick Crazy Tim apart on the feet, leading to a barrage of fight-ending strikes on the ground.  My guess:  Quarry by TKO

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