As we approach UFC 190, it is an understatement to say that the odds are currently in favour of UFC Women's Bantamweight champion Ronda Rousey, ahead of her bout with Bethe Correia. Both women are undefeated, but the 28-year-old Rousey (11-0) has two more wins under her MMA belt than Correia (9-0) and enters the bout at an astounding 1/20 in places to remain undefeated come the end of the night. Even the undefeated boxing superstar Floyd Mayweather struggles to command those odds - and he's won 48 consecutive fights to date.
However, if you're a fan of MMA and want to try your hand at making some money on your fight predictions, then you can always try betting on the latest UFC main events. From Jon Jones and the aforementioned Ronda Rousey, to Conor McGregor and TJ Dillashaw, the UFC has a plethora of fighters that always perform well and appear to be obvious choices when it comes to placing bets and making a profit.
by Sal Ami
Heading into UFC 190, Rousey is once again the overwhelming favourite to beat Brazil's Bethe Correia. As noted earlier, a glance at the odds avaliable at the 32Red casino and sportsbook reveals she is 1/20 on for the win. In contrast, Correia is a 10/1 underdog and this trend isn't simply confined to 32Red. A survey of any online sports betting site, such as Betfair, Unibet or 888sport, will yield the same result: Rousey is a huge favourite.
Of course, given that Correia made things personal by referencing the death of Rousey's father in the build up to the fight, it's likely the champion will dominate in the fight and prove the odds makers right. However, from a professional sports bettor's point of view, that doesn't make Rousey a good bet.
Because the amount you stand to win by betting on Rousey is so low compared to the amount you have to stake, it doesn't make sense to speculate on her against Correia. In fact, if you're really looking for a value bet at UFC 190, then Neil Magny is your man. According to the latest stats, Magny is a 13/10 underdog against the more experienced Demian Maia (5/9). While Maia is undoubtedly the better grappler and submission artist, it's worth noting that Magny is on a seven fight win streak.
The level of confidence Magny will glean from this streak is something that can't be underestimated. Indeed, even though he'll likely be vulnerable on the mat against Maia, his cardio and speed are traits that should give him the edge against the aging Maia. According to his former training partner, Brendan Schaub, Magny is a handful for anyone in the welterweight division based on his athleticism alone.
Naturally, this doesn't mean Magny will run through Maia like he's not even there; however, it does mean he's a much closer prospect than the bookmakers are anticipating. In fact, given that many pros are tipping Magny to triumph at UFC 190, it would suggest the bookies have priced up the bout wrong and this is something aspiring sports bettors can exploit.
Unlike Rousey who is both the favourite in the eyes of the experts and the bookmakers, Magny isn't and that means his odds are more attractive. While it's true that Rousey is more likely to win against Correia than Magny is against Maia, it's also true that, from a money-making perspective, Magny is the more lucrative option.
In terms of overall appeal, UFC 190 isn't the strongest card of the year. In fact, when compared to UFC 189 (which may have been the most impressive UFC main card in modern times), UFC 190 is practically a non-starter. Of course, there are some nuggets of interest (Rousey is always entertaining), but on the whole the card won't be breaking any pay per view records.
So, if you're looking to inject some more interest into the event, then a cheeky bet on some of the fights isn't a bad idea. However, if you're really looking to make some money then it pays to look beyond the heavy favourites such as Rousey and towards the underrated fighters such as Magny. Although "The Gazelle" might not be a household name to many, he's an extremely talented fighter and one that can easily upset the odds.